Last Week in the News
The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures inflation at the retail level, rose 0.4% in April, compared with a 0.5% rise in March, the Commerce Department reported May 15. Economists had forecast a 0.6% increase. The more closely watched core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2%, after a 0.1% gain in March. While core CPI edged up in April, the 12-month core CPI average declined to a 2.3% rise, the lowest rate since April 2006.
Industrial production jumped a bigger-than-expected 0.7% in April, the Federal Reserve said May 16. Analysts expected production to rise only 0.3%. April's rise, paced by gains in auto and high-tech manufacturing, was only the third increase in the last eight months.
The Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators -- a key gauge of future economic growth -- slipped 0.5% in April, greater than the 0.1% decline analysts had predicted. Of the 10 indicators, only stock prices and the money supply (the total amount of currency and checkable deposits in circulation, which influences interest rates) moved in a positive direction.
Housing starts unexpectedly rose 2.5% in April, confounding analysts who had forecast a 2.2% drop, the Commerce Department reported May 16. But applications for building permits plunged 8.9% in April, the sharpest fall in 17 years.
Americans filed 5,000 fewer jobless claims for the week ended May 12, the Labor Department said May 17. Economists expected a slight rise. Meanwhile, mortgage rates for the week ended May 16 nudged up on lingering Federal Reserve concerns about inflation.
This week look for updates on new home sales on May 24 and existing home sales on May 25.
Monday, May 21, 2007
Tuesday, May 15, 2007
Economic Update for 5/15/2007
The Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures the price of goods at the wholesale level, rose 0.7% last month, down from a 1% gain in March, the Labor Department reported May 11. But the more closely watched core PPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, showed no rise after also remaining unchanged in March. Economists had forecast a 0.2% percent rise in core PPI.
The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate, an overnight bank lending rate that affects credit card, home equity and other loan rates, at 5.25%. In its statement, May 9, the Fed noted that "the predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected."
Retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.2% in April, hurt by rising gasoline prices and a sluggish housing market. Economists had forecast a 0.4% increase.
The U.S. trade deficit widened more than expected in March to $63.9 billion, as higher oil prices helped push total imports to the second highest level on record, the Commerce Department reported May 10. The trade gap swelled 10.4% from February, surprising Wall Street economists who had pegged the trade gap at $60 billion.
The Mortgage Bankers Association's index of mortgage applications increased 3.6% for the week ended May 4, the third consecutive week the MBA's applications index has risen. Meanwhile, Freddie Mac reported that mortgage rates on 30-year terms eased slightly for the week ended May 11.
This week look for updates on the Consumer Price Index on May 15 and housing starts on May 16.
The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate, an overnight bank lending rate that affects credit card, home equity and other loan rates, at 5.25%. In its statement, May 9, the Fed noted that "the predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected."
Retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.2% in April, hurt by rising gasoline prices and a sluggish housing market. Economists had forecast a 0.4% increase.
The U.S. trade deficit widened more than expected in March to $63.9 billion, as higher oil prices helped push total imports to the second highest level on record, the Commerce Department reported May 10. The trade gap swelled 10.4% from February, surprising Wall Street economists who had pegged the trade gap at $60 billion.
The Mortgage Bankers Association's index of mortgage applications increased 3.6% for the week ended May 4, the third consecutive week the MBA's applications index has risen. Meanwhile, Freddie Mac reported that mortgage rates on 30-year terms eased slightly for the week ended May 11.
This week look for updates on the Consumer Price Index on May 15 and housing starts on May 16.
Monday, May 7, 2007
Economic Report for 5/7/2007
Employers added a net gain of 88,000 jobs to their payrolls in April, down from the 177,000 net increase in March and below Wall Street's forecast of a 100,000 net gain, the Labor Department reported May 4. April's job growth was the weakest since November 2004, when there was a gain of only 65,000 jobs. The unemployment rate edged up to 4.5% in April from the 4.4% reading in March.
U.S. business productivity -- a measure of how much any given worker can produce in an hour -- grew a greater-than-expected 1.7% in the first quarter of 2007. Economists expected a rise of only 1%. Meanwhile, unit labor costs grew 0.6% in the first quarter of 2007, well below the 4% rise analysts predicted.
The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported May 3 that its April index of manufacturing activity moved to 54.7, from 50.9 in March. Readings above 50 point to expansion in the economy. Forecasters expected the April index to hit 51.
The ISM also said its non-manufacturing index rose to 56 in April from 52.4 in March, beating Wall Street expectations for a reading of 53. The service sector represents about 80% of U.S. economic activity.
The National Association of Realtors' Pending Home Sales Index fell 4.9% in March, following a 1.1% increase in February, the trade group reported May 1. Economists had predicted a 0.4% rise in the index.
Mortgage rates for the week ended May 4 remained unchanged on signs of weakening consumer spending and cooling inflation, Freddie Mac said.
This week look for updates on the Producer Price Index and retail sales on May 11.
U.S. business productivity -- a measure of how much any given worker can produce in an hour -- grew a greater-than-expected 1.7% in the first quarter of 2007. Economists expected a rise of only 1%. Meanwhile, unit labor costs grew 0.6% in the first quarter of 2007, well below the 4% rise analysts predicted.
The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported May 3 that its April index of manufacturing activity moved to 54.7, from 50.9 in March. Readings above 50 point to expansion in the economy. Forecasters expected the April index to hit 51.
The ISM also said its non-manufacturing index rose to 56 in April from 52.4 in March, beating Wall Street expectations for a reading of 53. The service sector represents about 80% of U.S. economic activity.
The National Association of Realtors' Pending Home Sales Index fell 4.9% in March, following a 1.1% increase in February, the trade group reported May 1. Economists had predicted a 0.4% rise in the index.
Mortgage rates for the week ended May 4 remained unchanged on signs of weakening consumer spending and cooling inflation, Freddie Mac said.
This week look for updates on the Producer Price Index and retail sales on May 11.
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