Economic Update for 5/21/2007

Last Week in the News
The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures inflation at the retail level, rose 0.4% in April, compared with a 0.5% rise in March, the Commerce Department reported May 15. Economists had forecast a 0.6% increase. The more closely watched core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2%, after a 0.1% gain in March. While core CPI edged up in April, the 12-month core CPI average declined to a 2.3% rise, the lowest rate since April 2006.

Industrial production jumped a bigger-than-expected 0.7% in April, the Federal Reserve said May 16. Analysts expected production to rise only 0.3%. April's rise, paced by gains in auto and high-tech manufacturing, was only the third increase in the last eight months.

The Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators -- a key gauge of future economic growth -- slipped 0.5% in April, greater than the 0.1% decline analysts had predicted. Of the 10 indicators, only stock prices and the money supply (the total amount of currency and checkable deposits in circulation, which influences interest rates) moved in a positive direction.

Housing starts unexpectedly rose 2.5% in April, confounding analysts who had forecast a 2.2% drop, the Commerce Department reported May 16. But applications for building permits plunged 8.9% in April, the sharpest fall in 17 years.

Americans filed 5,000 fewer jobless claims for the week ended May 12, the Labor Department said May 17. Economists expected a slight rise. Meanwhile, mortgage rates for the week ended May 16 nudged up on lingering Federal Reserve concerns about inflation.

This week look for updates on new home sales on May 24 and existing home sales on May 25.